Is China an Opportunity – Or a Threat?

Is the short-term gain worth the possible long-term pain?

By Chris Haak


Nearly all of the major players in the global auto industry – GM, Ford, Volkswagen, Toyota, Honda, etc. – have a significant presence in China. Why wouldn’t they, after all? It’s a big market now, and a huge potential market that will only grow at a torrid pace over the next several years. Companies like GM and Ford who are seeing double-digit sales declines in their home market are seeing their sales in China growing at 20-30% per year. That’s good, right?

Well, I’m not so sure. Of course, these sales are providing necessary sales volume and cash to keep the companies afloat during difficult times at home. But, typical of the usual practices in this industry, I fear that they have taken too shortsighted of an approach. As the old idiom says they’re being, “penny wise, pound foolish.” Or, more specifically, they are sacrificing their long-term competitive position both in China and worldwide for the sake of a few years of breakneck sales increases.

The reason is that the Chinese government mandates that all foreign auto companies partner with a local firm in order to manufacture sell their vehicles in China. China has not made its motivation for this policy a secret – it wants to develop a globally competitive auto industry. For an example of how it works, GM has a joint venture with SAIC (Shanghai Automotive Industrial Corp). In the initial part of the venture, GM brings modern engineering, design, and manufacturing processes to SAIC in return for market access and factory capacity. However, SAIC gains more expertise from GM, SAIC becomes a direct competitor to GM in the Chinese market. SAIC is in the process of rolling out models that compete directly with SAIC GM products.

The next logical step is for Chinese auto manufacturers to compete with the GMs and VWs of the world on a more global stage; perhaps in other developing markets such as Southeast Asia or India first. Meanwhile, GM’s sales growth in China will slow, eventually level off, and possibly decline as the domestic industry, favored by government policies, picks up the ball and runs with it. The end game is that the very companies that Western auto manufacturers taught how to build quality cars will be taking away their sales around the world in the next few decades.

The elephant in the room in all of this also is China’s utter contempt for intellectual property rights. If it weren’t so sad and egregious, it would be funny to point out the way Chinese companies blatantly copy products of other manufacturers and sell them at a discount. We’ve seen knockoffs of the Mercedes C-Class, Honda CR-V, Chevy Colorado and more, but my new personal favorite, courtesy of Winding Road, is the Huanghai Auto NCV. This crossover was recently shown at the Shanghai Auto Show, and it is an almost identical copy of a Pontiac Torrent from the windshield forward, and a Lexus RX350 on the rest of the vehicle. The fact that such an obvious rip-off could be displayed at a major international auto show without consequence just proves how lightly the Chinese take intellectual property rights. Don’t take my word for it, though – see for yourself.

2006 Pontiac Torrent and the 2007 Huanghai Auto NCV (front)
It’s bad enough that the Chinese have dictated the conditions under which their auto industry is opened, while they will enjoy nearly unfettered access to the home markets of these automakers in the coming years. But when that is compounded with blatant intellectual property violations, neither the country nor its industry has any credibility to me. Meanwhile, Western auto companies continue to help Chinese firms who will eventually steal sales from them. Are they making deals with the devil? Perhaps.
2006 Lexus RX 330 and the 2007 Huanghai Auto NCV (rear)

COPYRIGHT – All Rights Reserved

Author: Chris Haak

Chris is Autosavant's Managing Editor. He has a lifelong love of everything automotive, having grown up as the son of a car dealer. A married father of two sons, Chris is also in the process of indoctrinating them into the world of cars and trucks.

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  1. These guys plan long-term and we think short-term.

    We didn’t learn our lessons well enough with the Japanese and the Koreans, and now we’re back for more schooling, I guess.

  2. I am a Chinese engineering graduate student in Australia and I can tell you is very difficult for Chinese to have original design. That is not teaching method in China. It is all memory of this, memory of that. Maybe this will happen later, but Chinese people are very good at working hard and making something exact like something else, but not so good at design.

  3. I’m sorry, but that excuse just doesn’t fly with me. You can’t just copy someone else’s work and call it your own. Huanghai would have literally been laughed off the stage if they had dared to bring the NCV to a market where the RX and Torrent are sold (imagine this thing in Detroit – oh boy!)

    China will never have credibility as a legitimate industrial power if all they are is the Xerox machine of manufacturing. It’s not good enough to copy what others have done – you have to come up with something yourself, or pay for the rights to use others’ designs, like SAIC is doing with the old Rover stuff they bought. Blatant copying is unacceptable.

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